Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.417523 0.541817 0.676993 0.832890 1.005892 1.190387 1.400494
2025-04-06 0.228986 0.386615 0.578734 0.819617 1.104961 1.425224 1.805577
2025-04-13 0.159407 0.332017 0.560389 0.861976 1.232486 1.659433 2.176889
2025-04-20 0.112441 0.292522 0.550443 0.906618 1.357153 1.886830 2.538440
2025-04-27 0.081790 0.266259 0.550418 0.957606 1.484514 2.113363 2.895433
2025-05-04 0.066456 0.260264 0.575723 1.039531 1.648851 2.383158 3.302699
2025-05-11 0.047955 0.241191 0.577898 1.087705 1.768679 2.597946 3.644004
2025-05-18 0.028313 0.209424 0.555442 1.098512 1.838150 2.749627 3.908818
2025-05-25 0.008547 0.156153 0.488830 1.040701 1.813791 2.782487 4.028324
2025-06-01 0.000411 0.110379 0.424020 0.978277 1.778128 2.797406 4.122885
2025-06-08 NaN 0.083239 0.386652 0.952580 1.788712 2.868020 4.283202
2025-06-15 NaN 0.071675 0.378781 0.971573 1.859853 3.015141 4.537174
2025-06-22 NaN 0.055833 0.358750 0.972517 1.909859 3.141080 4.773205
2025-06-29 NaN 0.038367 0.327763 0.952818 1.929963 3.228744 4.962997
2025-07-06 NaN 0.035461 0.336271 1.000134 2.045751 3.440713 5.307606
2025-07-13 NaN 0.032930 0.345146 1.047945 2.162338 3.653964 5.654208
2025-07-20 NaN 0.031783 0.358160 1.103046 2.289608 3.881395 6.018831
2025-07-27 NaN 0.035786 0.389406 1.191151 2.465495 4.173221 6.464869
2025-08-03 NaN 0.034130 0.400474 1.242880 2.588102 4.394896 6.822790
2025-08-10 NaN 0.027072 0.389774 1.254469 2.651347 4.537987 7.081624
2025-08-17 NaN 0.013342 0.341074 1.192416 2.603479 4.532380 7.151564
2025-08-24 NaN 0.004293 0.292866 1.125282 2.544474 4.509469 7.197547
2025-08-31 NaN 0.001102 0.266545 1.097606 2.543113 4.562216 7.338224